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The K Continues To Widen
As compute becomes cheaper and more readily available, AI in turn becomes more powerful and useful. The flywheel will continue to accelerate until AI…
Apr 15
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Geo Chen
13
1
1
Blockade
Today’s post will be a quick one for paid subscribers only.
Apr 13
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Geo Chen
11
7
Are we all cooked?
Anthropic’s new, yet-to-be-released model Mythos, has scared policy-makers enough that they’ve decided to meet to figure out what to do about it.
Apr 10
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Geo Chen
9
Capitulation...or a ruse?
In a dramatic turn of events that occurred just hours before Trump’s 8 pm EST deadline, Trump agreed to a ceasefire with Iran, which in turn was…
Apr 8
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Geo Chen
13
1
Subscriber Q&A - principles of tactical swing trading
Let’s say one day the market has a gigantic gap up or down because overnight half the Gulf's oil infrastructure was destroyed or a peace deal was…
Apr 7
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Geo Chen
19
1
1
Every hammer sees a nail
Trump is threatening to create a humanitarian disaster for millions of innocent Iranians by hitting Iran’s power plants and bridges if Iran doesn’t open…
Apr 7
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Geo Chen
10
2
Three stocks I'm shorting in a recession
To express my recessionary view on the global economy, I purchased some 20 delta puts expiring in September on three names.
Apr 1
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Geo Chen
3
3
March 2026
Anatomy of a recession
I want to shift our attention to what I think is the bigger story that is unfolding as a result of the war in Iran - a global recession that may unfold…
Mar 31
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Geo Chen
22
1
Anatomy of a recession
I’m now focusing on recession trades that I believe will pay off over the coming months or quarters.
Mar 31
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Geo Chen
8
2
Monday Buy Day
Going short on Wednesday and covering on Monday has been a reliable strategy that takes advantage of the natural cycle of human sentiment and news.
Mar 30
•
Geo Chen
17
1
Boots on the ground
The White House is releasing some cryptic videos that suggest troops are about to arrive in Iran.
Mar 26
•
Geo Chen
8
11
Unstable equilibriums
According to the White House, a 14-point list of conditions has been presented to Iran as terms for a cease fire.
Mar 25
•
Geo Chen
7
3
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