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June 2026

Turning neutral on AI semis and infrastructure
I had a vivid dream last night in which I unwound my entire AI portfolio.
 • Geo Chen
Thoughts on Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting
Warsh’s first meeting delivered a clear change in tone and also marked the start of a broader regime change within the Fed that will shape how it…
 • Geo Chen
Global macro is getting interesting again
The US and Iran are set to sign a 14 point memorandum of understanding that will restore traffic in the Strait of Hormuz to pre-war levels.
 • Geo Chen
Anthropic drama and a rare trading signal in precious metals
The White House unexpectedly banned Anthropic’s Fable on Friday using its export controls.
 • Geo Chen
Claude Fable is released
Today’s big news is that Claude Fable - a Mythos-class model - has been released.
 • Geo Chen
What could possibly go wrong with the AI boom?
I outline five ways the cycle could stall or reverse, whether due to forces inside the AI ecosystem or shocks from the broader macro and political…
 • Geo Chen
Interview with Real Vision - AI, geopolitics, and more
I did an interview with Ash Bennington on Real Vision two days ago, where I talked about investing in AI, how AI is affecting society and culture, my…
 • Geo Chen
Warning signs for the end of the AI boom
Long AI infrastructure and supply chain is my biggest exposure right now, but like with every investment, one needs a framework for identifying the…
 • Geo Chen

May 2026

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