Sitemap - 2025 - Fidenza Macro

Trade alert - closing all positions

Thoughts on the market post FOMC

Boosting returns by swing trading S&P 500 futures (part 2)

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Updated stop levels

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Follow up to my risk-off view

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Fed pause = turbulence ahead

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Cautious on risk

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Boosting returns by swing trading S&P 500 futures (part 1)

Monday thoughts on equities, crypto, and a trade in rates

From the archives - Should you quit your job to become an independent trader?

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Trading results from Q3 2025

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Trade alert, and thoughts on the cracks in private credit and regional banks

Tightening stops

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Trade alert, and updated stop levels

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Liberation Day 2.0 or a blip in the bull market?

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Trade alert. Jumping on board the everything rally

Trade alert. Thoughts on crypto, oil, and gold.

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Updated stop levels

Trade alert, and thoughts on today's hot US data

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The unfolding rotation into small caps and EM

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Trade alert, and why we may be transitioning from disinflation to reflation.

Fidenza Macro meetup Singapore Oct 2

Get mentorship, training, and capital intros by applying to the Fundseeder Rise 2026 cohort

Pay it forward

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Trade alert - Roll long CL Oct to Nov at -0.25

Trade alert - Long gold Dec futures 3688 and close short Metaplanet 573

Trade alert - Close ETHUSD short 4416 and BMNR short 47.80

Navigating the US growth scare

Trade alert - Long Mar 2026 SOFR futures 96.505

Trade alert - Close short US treasury futures 115'00

Trade alert - Close EUR/USD spot FX 1.1625

Trade alert - Long EUR/USD spot FX 1.1697

Trade alert - Long WTI Oct crude oil futures 63.25

Thoughts on Jackson Hole, crypto, and what I'm actually bullish on

Trade alert - Short US long bond Dec futures 114'04

Trade alert - Short ETHUSD 4774 (corrected price)

Trade alert - Short ETHUSD 4774

Trade alert - Close short ETHUSD 4420

The crypto bull market is topping

Trade alert - Short ETHUSD 4191

Trade alert - Short BMNR (Bitmine Immersion Technologies) 54.00

Trade alert - Close Long RTY Russell 2000 2298

Trade alert - Close Long ETH 4392

What's driving this bull market?

Trade alert - Long RTY (Russell 2000) futures 2246 and ETHUSD 4388

Trade alert - Close S&P puts 23.50 and cover ARKK short 76.60

Trade alert - Close short SBET 24.10

Trade alert - Close short EUR/USD 1.1580

Trade alert - Close short SFRH6

Trade alert - Short EUR/USD 1.1547, short SFRH6 96.41

Trade alert - Sold short 3350 (Metaplanet)

Flipping bearish

Trade alert - Close long gold Dec futures 3430

Trade alert - Close long BTC 118400

Trade alert - Long Gold Dec futures 3468

Trade alert - close long USD/JPY 147.78

Trade alert - reenter long USD/JPY 148.02

Trade alert - long USD/JPY 148.85

Trade alert - close gold Aug futures at 3340 and close EUR/USD AT 1.1600

Trump vs Powell

Trade alert - Long gold Aug futures at 3374 and long EUR/USD AT 1.1683

Trade alert - Close long silver Sep futures 36.50

The Trader Skill Stack (part 2)

Trade alert - Close Fed funds July long at 95.69

Trade alert - Long Bitcoin 109500

(Correction) Trade alert - Long Silver Sep futures 37.20

Trade alert - Long Silver Sep futures 37.20

Enter Goldilocks, and Q2 Trade results

Trade alert - close long gold futures 3300

Trade alert - close long BTC 108000

Trade alert - Long Gold Aug futures 3348

Trade alert - close long Gold Aug futures 3340

Trade alert - close short WTI oil Aug futures 65.60

Trade alert - long Gold Aug futures 3388, long Aug Fed funds 95.73

Trading the Iran conflict

Trade alert - sell WTI oil Aug 76.20

Trade alert - buy BTC 102450

Trade alert - closed long gold futures 3375

Trade alert - closed long EUR/USD 1.1465

FOMC slightly dovish but mostly a non-event

Trade alert - close long CL Aug oil futures at 69.00

Trade alert - long CL Aug oil futures 72.25, initial thoughts on Israel strikes on Iran

Trade alert - long EUR/USD 1.1546

Thoughts on equities, crypto, and the American exodus trade

The Trader Skill Stack (part 1)

A warning on crypto

Trade alert - long gold Aug futures 3294

Trade alert - close long EUR/USD 1.1235

Trade alert - close long BTC at 108400

Trade alert - close long gold at 3332 and close short US Treasury short at 112'10

How to improve the quality of decisions when trading

Trade alert - Short US Treasury futures 112’10

Trade alert - Long BTC 106600

What a buyers strike in long bonds means for the global economy

Trade alert - Long EUR/USD spot at 1.1183

Trade alert - Close short US Treasury futures 112.75

Trade alert - Long gold June futures 3180

Trade alert - close long BTC 102200

US-China crisis averted - what next?

Trade alert - Closed long gold at 3225

Trade alert - Long BTC 102800, closed long EUR/USD at 1.1250

Breaking news - Scott Bessent and China's Vice Premier He to meet in Switzerland

Market update w/ Geo Chen - Fidenza Macro

Trade alert - close short CL oil futures 58.60 and close long BTC 96850

Trade alert - rebuying gold at 3233

Trade alert - close long gold at 3255

China will not negotiate

Trade alert - Long gold June futures 3324 and short US Treasury futures 116'-08

Trade alert - Short CL June oil futures 61.45

Trade alert - close long gold 3310

Trade alert - reopen long BTC at 94000

Trade Alert - Open long gold Jun at 3349

Trade alert - close US Treasury short

Trade alert - close long BTC @ 93700

Positioning for the exodus from American assets

Portfolio update

Trading results from Q1 2025

The end of American global hegemony

What Liberation Day tariffs mean for the economy and market

Position update

The four quadrant global macro framework (part 2)

An opportunity-rich global macro environment

Some bear porn (and a banger of a trade idea)

Covering risk shorts

From Trump bump to Trump slump

Quick take on reciprocal tariffs

Medium term bearish

Selling the dip on Trump tariffs

Real Vision interview about my bullish view on Treasuries

Tariffs on hold, bond vigilantes at bay, and how Trump can buy BTC for the BSR without Congressional approval

Stagflationary January, Day 1 of Trump, and my favorite equity and altcoin picks

Trading Results from 2024